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贪污横行、分赃不均、党争加剧,泽连斯基政权开始“大乱斗”_我的网站

大秦帝国之纵横

一 |     

尽管美国已经批准新的610亿美元援乌法案,但泽连斯基的日子,正在变得越来越难。战争前线俄军剑指哈尔科夫州。而在基辅,泽连斯基政权内部,也开始“大乱斗”,奇葩剧情层出不穷。
本期内容开始前啊,大家可以猜猜,美国答应给乌克兰的610亿美元军援,最终有多少,能真的用到前线。是全部?80%,还是更少?我们抛开这笔钱,要先在美国军工企业手里洗一遍不谈,据乌克兰前总统办公室顾问阿列斯托维奇说,泽连斯基这帮人,在每笔交易中都要盗窃40%到70%,贪婪程度连美国和欧洲都感到震惊。    
Zhou Jiang speaks at an event. Photo: Courtesy of Zhou Jiang
    Zhou Jiang speaks at an event. Photo: Courtesy of Zhou Jiang
Zhou Jiang, a researcher at the Sichuan Academy of Social Sciences, has a favorite book:  White Deer Tableland or Bai Lu Yuan by renowned writer Chen Zhongshi.
As vice president of the Regional Science Association of China (RSAC), Zhou told the Global Times that a lifetime of reading has profoundly shaped the way he sees and understands the world. It ultimately led him to a career in research and academia, where he teaches and pursues scholarly work.
Since earning his PhD in economics in 2000, he has devoted himself to the study of regional science and economics, a field that demands a constant crossing of disciplinary boundaries, drawing on the fields of geography, sociology, history, and ecology among others.
"Reading has kept alive my sense of curiosity and taught me to ask questions with patience and persistence: Where do disparities in regional development come from? How do policies affect different groups in society? And how can a region pursue both efficiency and equity so that development is not merely effective, but also imbued with a greater sense of humanity and warmth?" Zhou noted. 
Founded in 1991, RSAC is a national academic society dedicated to advancing domestic and international academic exchange and cooperation, providing consulting services on spatial planning, urbanization, and regional development, and offering intellectual support for China's modernization drive.
The 57-year-old researcher noted that reading has empowered him in two distinct ways.
"The first is discernment. When confronted with a complex issue, I try not to settle for a simple conclusion. Instead, I make an effort to understand its broader context, how it has unfolded, and the perspectives of the different people involved," he said. 
"The second is a sense of inner steadiness. Setbacks are an inevitable part of both life and work. Good books remind us that hardship is never ours alone to bear; countless people before us have faced circumstances more difficult than our own, made difficult choices, and found the strength to carry on. Reading cannot solve every problem for us, but it can help us remain calm when challenges arise, giving us the clarity and resilience that allow us not to panic or give up too easily," he said. 
Historical depth

Each time Zhou returns to the White Deer Tableland, he finds something different in its pages. 
"When I first read it as a young person, I was drawn primarily to the characters and the twists and turns of their lives. Later, as I began researching regional economics, I found myself paying closer attention to the changes in the land, the countryside, families and social order presented in the story. Now, approaching 60, I have come to appreciate more deeply the choices the characters make, the constraints they face, and the quiet perseverance they show amid the sweeping currents of their times," he said. 
White Deer Tableland uses Bai Lu village in Northwest China's Shaanxi Province as a microcosm, tracing the feuds and intertwined fortunes of three generations of the Bai (literally meaning white) and Lu families. Through their stories, it captures more than half a century of sweeping historical change, from the final years of the Qing Dynasty (1644-1911) to the 1970s and 1980s. The novel won the Mao Dun Literature Prize, one of China's top literature awards, in 1997.
Zhou prefers literary works with historical depth and a keen eye for social change. 
Regional economics may appear to be concerned with the spatial distribution of industries, population and resources, but at its heart, it is about how people live on a particular piece of land, and why some places flourish while others decline, he noted. 
In this sense, literature and history are more than pastimes beyond professional research. They often help him understand the historical context, cultural traditions and social mentality that lie behind economic data, he said. 
When reading novels, Zhou said that he often pays close attention to the relationship between people and the places they inhabit: How the land shapes the local character, how transportation transforms a region, and how shifts in industry reshape families and villages. Such details may not offer a direct conclusion, but they broaden a researcher's perspective. They also serve as a reminder that research should look beyond growth rates and statistical indicators to consider the sense of fulfillment experienced by ordinary people and the dignity of human beings.
Understanding ourselves
Once, while tidying his study, he came across a book filled with notes he had scribbled in his early years. Among them was a question that particularly caught his attention: "In the face of sweeping changes in the times and profound social transformation, what can a person truly determine for himself?"
Looking at those words he had written in his youth was like coming face to face with the person he had been decades ago.
Reading is not simply the act of understanding a book; it is also a record of a person's own growth, he said. The same book can reveal something entirely different when read at different stages of life. 
When we are young, we turn to books in search of answers; but when we become seasoned, we read more to understand life, to understand others, and ultimately, to better understand ourselves, Zhou said. 
In this era of fragmented information, AI can help people access information quickly, organize materials, and gain a basic understanding of unfamiliar fields. Yet deep reading, Zhou said, allows people to see how a conclusion is reached — what evidence supports it, where its boundaries lie, and what alternative interpretations it may invite.
What truly shapes a person, after all, is not how much information they have browsed, but the words that have made them pause and reflect - and the words that have remained with them for many years, he added. 

二 | 这个数字有没有夸大,阿列斯托维奇倒是没说,但从上周末,俄军进攻哈尔科夫的飞速进展,也能看出一些端倪。

三 |

根据俄国防部发布的声明,俄军在最开始的48小时内,就拿下了9个村,乌军几乎是一触即溃,这里面固然有乌军兵源和武器装备不足的原因,但没有第一道防御工事,更是致命短板。乌克兰特种部队指挥官雅罗斯拉夫斯基,曾参与2年前夺回哈尔科夫的战斗,向西方媒体抱怨,俄军这次进攻,完全是走进来的。

四 |

他说自己被政府官员告知,修筑前线工事耗费了巨额资金,才无法提供更多武器装备,现实中发生的事,却是所谓的防御工事根本不存在。雅罗斯拉夫斯基表示:这要么是腐败,要么是玩忽职守,这不是失败,而是背叛。
乌克兰的贪腐问题有多严重,这两年多,各国媒体都有报道,当时他们说,乌克兰为加入欧盟,提升反腐标准,取得了多少重大成就。可直到现在,乌克兰副总理库布拉科夫,农业部部长索利斯基,还被爆出涉嫌非法收购国有企业、倒卖国有土地,先被相关部门调查,后被直接撤职。
无独有偶,就在同一天,泽连斯基还解除了国家保卫局局长谢尔希-鲁德,他被认为和前段时间,国家保卫局两名军官策划的“泽连斯基刺杀案”有关。

五 | 这两人倒是没成功,鲁德是涉案了,还是负领导责任,乌克兰方面没说。

六 | 不过值得一提的是,泽连斯基没有宣布谁来继任这个职位,以至于这三名政府高官离任后,泽连斯基政府内,出现了五个部长以上的高级职位空缺。

政府高官没人当,这对任何一个国家来说都是很危险的信号。正常来讲,每个部门负责不同的工作,任何一个部门缺少主官,都意味着诸多事务要由上一级官员来决策,这无疑会大大降低国家中枢的行政效率。同时谁来出任这些职位,也有可能引爆,原本没有那么激烈的党派矛盾。现在,乌克兰空出这么多高官职位无人接盘,只能说明泽连斯基政权对国家的掌控力越来越低。

七 |

另外,就像我们前面说的,乌克兰的贪腐问题,已经影响到了前线战局,如果构筑防线的钱没到位,乌军士兵拿什么阻挡俄军的铁蹄?而这,可能也是国家安全局军官涉嫌刺杀泽连斯基的原因之一,士兵们在前线卖命,后方军政要员却贪得脑满肠肥,想让他们不恨泽连斯基也是一件很困难的事情。
最后,这里面还涉及到一个分赃不均的问题,西方盟友给的钱都进了谁的口袋,还有别的人想分一杯羹怎么办,泽连斯基能搞得定吗?别的不说,扎卢日内被解职,已经引起了军方相当一部分人的不满,他们要么盯着泽连斯基的总统位置,要么盯着西方军援,这些麻烦稍有一个处理不好,等5月20日总统任期一满,泽连斯基就很可能面临灭顶之灾。

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Published on:05:14:09


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